Colorado State University Hurricane predictors admit they can’t predict hurricanes

Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn’t work. William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no value. The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities as hurricane seasons approach — a much more cautious approach. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do next. Gray, recently joined by Klotzbach, has been known for decades for an annual forecast of how many...

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The Big Uneasy On PPV (Hurricane Katrina)

"Why did it take Bea, van Heerden, and Garzino to shed light on this story?The Army Corps of Engineers, as an institution, is not very receptive to criticism, from inside or outside. It dominates the market for engineering certain kinds of projects, mainly to do with water. So the engineering profession is filled with people whose attitude is, "Better not rock the boat." And inside [the corps], it's arguably worse. It exists in a bubble of impunity. Because, as we lay out in the film, Congress likes the corps the way it is, and it doesn't really give it effective...

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Tropical Storm Hilary could become a hurricane

Tropical Storm Hilary has strengthened in the Pacific south of Mexico and could soon become a hurricane. Hilary's maximum sustained winds Thursday are near 70 mph (110 kph). The U.S. National Hurricane Center says Hilary could become a hurricane later in the day and could become a major hurricane by Saturday.

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Katia weakens to tropical storm in open Atlantic (intensity should vary)

MIAMI (Reuters) - Hurricane Katia weakened to a tropical storm on Saturday and was forecast to wobble back and forth between hurricane and tropical storm strength far from land in the open Atlantic, forecasters said. > Katia did not threaten land and was out in the Atlantic, about 430 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. It was moving west-northwest on a path that would take it safely west of the mid-Atlantic island of Bermuda on Thursday. Computer models showed it turning north after that and then northeast and away from the East Coast.

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Hurricane Katia

Is anyone else worried about, now, Hurricane Katia? Or, being a guy from Baltimore, do I not know anything about hurricanes? This morning seems to have brought bad news...it's strengthening and the track has changed to hitting the US in the mid Atlantic. They say it's very early to forecast but it seems to have a stable track. Seems odd that it would make a 90 or 180 degree turn and not make landfall in the US.

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